Bayesian predictive probabilities: a good way to monitor clinical trials.

Fiche publication


Date publication

octobre 2020

Journal

British journal of anaesthesia

Auteurs

Membres identifiés du Cancéropôle Est :
Pr MEYER Nicolas


Tous les auteurs :
Ferreira D, Ludes PO, Diemunsch P, Noll E, Torp KD, Meyer N

Résumé

Bayesian methods, with the predictive probability (PredP), allow multiple interim analyses with interim posterior probability (PostP) computation, without the need to correct for multiple looks at the data. The objective of this paper was to illustrate the use of PredP by simulating a sequential analysis of a clinical trial.

Mots clés

Bayesian statistics, RCT, clinical trial, monitoring, predictive probabilities, statistics

Référence

Br J Anaesth. 2020 Oct 28;: